Some of my recent publications
Clicking on the cover image will take you to the publication website, where you can download or purchase it.
Instrat Policy Paper 01/2021
Coal phase-out scenario for Poland, matching the EU GHG-55% climate targets and taking into account economic, technical, social issues, while adressing concerns about energy security. The result of a detailed energy modelling analysis using Instrat’s PyPSA-PL model.
Media coverage: NY Times, Rzeczpospolita, Rzeczpospolita, RzeczOBiznesie, klimat.rp.pl, klimat.rp.pl, energia.rp.pl, energia.rp.pl, energia.rp.pl, Rzeczpospolita, energia.rp.pl, energia.rp.pl, Wyborcza, Wyborcza, Dziennik Gazeta Prawna, Parkiet, Senate Special Commision on Climate, Parliament Subcommission on Just Trasition, Euractiv, Euractiv, S&P Global, Climate Home News, Dutch Financial Daily, biznes.interia.pl, biznes.interia.pl, biznes.interia.pl, zielona.interia.pl, OKO.press, OKO.press, Energetyka24, Powering Past Coal Alliance, Parkiet, Montel, Spider’s Web, Spider’s Web, Spider’s Web, Polityka Insight, 300 Gospodarka, 300 Gospodarka, Biznes Alert, Smoglab, Teraz Środowisko, Ecoreporters, Świat OZE, Wnp.pl, OWęglu.pl, Pirati.cz, Ceskoo, Mediavox.cz, Enerji Gunlugu, No Harm, Investing Signal, Human Mag, msn.com
Instrat Policy Note 01/2021
An update to the Polish “anti-wind” law is being discussed. Onshore wind is critical for Poland – without it, Poland cannot reach GHG-55% goals and will continue to have issues with energy security, including increasing energy prices and imports. The paper evaluates the onshore wind potential depending on legislative changes.
Instrat Working Paper 02/2021
A deep dive into power sector and labour market modelling for Eastern Greater Poland. The report compares two scenarios for the region, their impact on electricity generation mix, prices, CO2 emissions and the labour market.
Instrat Policy Paper 03/2021
An assessment of the Polish climate policy in several areas – power, heating, industry, transport. The report outlines the historical and current policies, evaluating their inefficiencies and outcomes – increased CO2 emissions, that could be avoided if the government’s plans were implemented correctly.
Media coverage: TVN24, Polsat News, Euractiv, klimat.rp.pl, zielona.interia.pl, Spider’s Web, Energetyka24, Ngo.pl, Zielone Wiadomości, Polityka Insight, 300 Gospodarka, Wyborcza, Money.pl, Gazeta.pl, Ngo.pl, 300 Gospodarka, CIRE.pl, zielona.interia.pl
Instrat for WWF
A comprehensive analysis of the coal phaseout scenarios in lignite mining region Eastern Greater Poland, taking into account the electricity mix, labor market, CO2 emissions, GDP.
Instrat & ClientEarth
The Polish government is planning to reshuffle the electricity sector, merging companies and spinning-off coal assets. The report evaluates the project, assessing the economic, environmental and legal risks, opening a debate that until now was being held by closed doors.
Media coverage: Reuters, Polityka, Tok FM, Onet.pl, Dziennik Gazeta Prawna, biznes.interia.pl, biznes.interia.pl, Rzeczpospolita, energia.rp.pl, Wyborcza, Wyborcza – Łódź, Montel, Montel, Politico – Newsletter, Economic Times, Newseria.pl, Forsal, OKO.press, OKO.press, OKO.press, Euractiv, Euractiv, Euractiv, Spider’s Web, Spider’s Web, Spider’s Web, Spider’s Web, Spider’s Web, INN Poland, INN Poland, INN Poland, Polityka Insight, Biznes Alert, Biznes Alert, Biznes Alert, Cire.pl, 300 Gospodarka, 300 Gospodarka, energetyka24, Wnp.pl, Wnp.pl, stooq.pl, nettg.pl, portalsamorzadowy.pl, Smoglab, Smoglab, Smoglab, Bankier, Forsal, Teraz Środowisko, Teraz Środowisko, Gramwzielone, Portal Komunalny, EndCoal.org, thecoalhub.com, Notes from Poland, MSN.com
Green jobs in coal regions.
Case study: Bełchatów
Instrat Policy Paper 04/2020
The report analyses the potential for creating new jobs in the Bełchatów region, based on the acquisition of EU funds for the just transition. According to Instrat, green jobs can more than replace the current employment in mining and lignite combustion at the Bełchatów lignite complex.
Media coverage: Wyborcza, Wyborcza, Wyborcza, Wyborcza, Wyborcza, Rzeczpospolita – EnergiaNews, Krytyka Polityczna, Emerging Europe, CIRE, 300 Gospodarka, Biznes Alert, aleBank.pl, wnp.pl, oweglu.pl, Emerging Europe, LaptrinhX, 300 Gospodarka, OKO.press
Green Fiscal Stimulus: Poland
Instrat Policy Note 03/2020
Green investments should be used as a recovery mechanism after the COVID-19 crisis due to, among others, their high job creation potential. We propose indicators to evaluate green investments and rank the most effective among them. We also describe methods of financing a green stimulus package in Poland.
Future energy mix in Poland: determinants, tools and forecasts
Polish Economic Institute Working Paper 06/2019
The Polish energy mix has been historically based on coal. In recent years, the rising costs of raw materials, increasing dependence on import and very high CO2 emission prices are putting pressure on the energy sector. It is high time to assess possible solutions of replacing coal with cleaner, cheaper and more secure options.
- Piotr Żuk, Paweł Żuk, Przemysław Pluciński, Coal basin in Upper Silesia and energy transition in Poland in the context of pandemic: The socio-political diversity of preferences in energy and environmental policy, Resources Policy, Volume 71, 2021
- Andrzej Ceglarz, Polish energy policy, Friedrich Ebert Stiftung, 2020
- Polish Economic Institute, Weekly economic briefing, 9/2021
2030: Analysis of the border coal phase-out year in the energy sector in Europe and Poland
Instrat Policy Paper 01/2020
Scientists indicate that Poland should move away from burning coal in the energy sector no later than by 2030. To meet the 2030 deadline, the decarbonization pace in the Polish energy industry – heavily reliant on coal – should be faster than in other European countries.
Institutional components of the economic security of energy prosumers
Book chapter - CEDEWU
The chapter presents an analysis of institutional factors shaping the economic security of electrical energy prosumers. Institutional factors are defined as legal, regulatory and social characteristics of a given location. These factors are analyzed in the context of enterprises generating electricity from renewable energy sources.
Econometric analysis of power plant economic security
Book chapter - CEDEWU
The chapter presents an econometric analysis of the economic safety of power generation companies using a VECM model and cointegration analysis. The factors defining economic safety (described in earlier chapters in the book) are used as explanatory variables and the stock market prices of a Polish energy supplier are used as the dependent variable. The model analyzes which factors have the highest impact in determining economic safety on the Polish energy market.